Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 3.433700 4.075838 4.770523 5.573893 6.473263 7.445069 8.570436
2025-12-14 2.314402 3.111714 4.050733 5.221902 6.626630 8.240715 10.218204
2025-12-21 1.600654 2.442600 3.520536 4.962971 6.802195 9.028858 11.885636
2025-12-28 1.280534 2.188664 3.438618 5.211270 7.583719 10.572920 14.541540
2026-01-04 1.072940 2.037762 3.455440 5.569639 8.516178 12.351205 17.583138
2026-01-11 0.898051 1.892094 3.446930 5.875544 9.385001 14.083851 20.645144
2026-01-18 0.706879 1.671076 3.284252 5.927894 9.889877 15.344626 23.134885
2026-01-25 0.521683 1.407873 3.005703 5.761812 10.051230 16.125892 24.998072
2026-02-01 0.386910 1.198337 2.775200 5.632354 10.238341 16.931536 26.905659
2026-02-08 0.285659 1.023489 2.570800 5.512333 10.415331 17.712747 28.789311
2026-02-15 0.214234 0.890229 2.417263 5.454035 10.672507 18.607947 30.850633
2026-02-22 0.183214 0.851010 2.442924 5.710223 11.443427 20.288850 34.084661
2026-03-01 0.138770 0.755217 2.337034 5.722319 11.826029 21.419527 36.589913
2026-03-08 0.089366 0.611355 2.092510 5.440822 11.690449 21.744363 37.916483
2026-03-15 0.056738 0.499630 1.893382 5.218050 11.631566 22.175840 39.405894
2026-03-22 0.048136 0.486288 1.940402 5.502708 12.485483 24.085723 43.183363
2026-03-29 0.043478 0.490028 2.033809 5.892392 13.546451 26.359859 47.570690
2026-04-05 0.037744 0.483498 2.097273 6.221452 14.509750 28.501357 51.800492
2026-04-12 0.027618 0.438831 2.041580 6.282113 14.976855 29.842673 54.821215
2026-04-19 0.016801 0.369335 1.891896 6.112196 14.996603 30.439873 56.690881
2026-04-26 0.009908 0.313177 1.765974 5.978952 15.072453 31.125434 58.707230
2026-05-03 0.005495 0.265289 1.650991 5.854655 15.152150 31.811447 60.729793
2026-05-10 0.003005 0.229426 1.566711 5.794372 15.351700 32.703834 63.097209